The Truth About Studio Support

 

All too often I hear from HD DVD supporters that studio support doesn't matter.  When that argument falls apart, they usually claim that the studios that do release HD DVDs put out pretty much every movie they (and presumably other consumers) want to see. 

Well, there's an easy way to see what studios produce films people want to see and that's to just look at their percentage of industry revenues.  As it turns out, between the 6 major studios and 2 mini-majors, those studios make up 97.7% of all box office and DVD revenues.  From that, the four studios who are Blu-ray exclusive made up 58.4% of all revenue, neutral studios made up another 25.9% of all revenue, and HD DVD exclusive studios made up 13.4% of all revenue.

When you add the neutral studios in to both sides' totals, Blu-ray studios come out with 84.3% of all revenue, while HD DVD comes out with 39.3% of all revenue.  It's hard to believe that the four Blu-ray exclusive studios, who have a 58.4% marketshare, don't release any films that consumers want to see.  If that were so, then who's contributing to those revenues?

2007 studio breakdown

(Note: Click on the image to view larger version, and feel free to print it out to show to your "fence-sitting" friends).

Edit:  I just added the YTD 2007 data as well.  For 2007, Blu-ray exclusive studios have a 51.4% revenue share, with neutral studios having a 33.1% marketshare, and HD DVD exclusive studios have a meager 8.5% markeshare. In terms of disc availability (by adding neutral studios to both formats) 84.5% of the revenue was by Blu-ray supporting studios, and 41.6% of the revenue was by HD DVD supporting studios.  This will be incredibly important come this fall when these blockbuster releases are released on video.

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Optical Disc History: How We Got Here

 

dvd5 Since last week marked the one year anniversary of commercial Blu-ray in the U.S., I thought it was time for a trip down memory lane to look back on the history of optical discs.  Blu-ray didn't just appear out of the blue (or Blu).  It took nearly 50 years since the earliest trials to get where we are today.

First Optical Systems - 1958-1969

Credit for the first optical disc system is usually given to David Paul Greg, who invented a laser-based transparent disc system way back in 1958.  He and others improved the technology throughout the 1960's, but it was Philips, who, in 1969, successfully created a laser-based reflective disc that really got the ball rolling.  At the time, the idea of "home video" was still a foreign concept, but one that had many people excited.  Only a few mostly-professional tape-based systems were then in existence, but most manufacturers felt that people didn't want to record television.  They simply wanted to watch movies at home.  Thus, a number of manufacturers were hard at work on various video disc ideas, which seemed easier to implement than video tape systems.

DiscoVision / VLP / LaserVision (Round 1) - 1978-1984

It took a partnership with MCA (Music Corporation of America), who they learned was working on a similar system, and nearly another decade before Philips was ready to launch the first VLP (Video Long Player), or as MCA preferred to call it DiscoVision Player.  The system launched in Atlanta, GA, on December 12, 1978, with only 50 players released.  All players were bought immediately -- many by employees before the store even opened -- and it looked like Philips had another hit on their hands.  Following on their recent success of the audio cassette and the VCR (Philip's original name for one of the earliest videotape systems), Philips seemed to be the company to beat.  Though Philips/MCA deserve the credit for the first systems, Pioneer and Sony quickly came on board to expand the market.

Despite the initial success, the relationship between Philips and MCA went south.  Disc manufacturing was hugely problematic, with over 50% of the early discs being defective.  In addition, the delays in coming up with a standard had given videotape time to launch and Sony's Betamax, JVC's VHS, and Philips' Video2000 systems were capable of playing and recording, and were available at a lower price.  The original manufacturer's, however, were undeterred.  A "relaunch" of sorts happened in 1981/1982, led by Pioneer, who relabeled their players as LaserVision players, and worked to expand the players into the karaoke market. 

They were fighting an uphill battle, as rival disc formats were being introduced by competitors -- most notably RCA's CED "Select-a-vision" in the U.S., and JVC's VHD (Video High Density) in Japan -- but none used the advanced (for the time) laser technology of the Philips/MCA format.

Contrary to what many people think, these original discs were NOT digital.  The audio and video data is stored in an analog format, just like all other audio and video formats of the time.  This, in part, is why the discs were a massive 12" in diameter.

Compact Disc (CD) - 1982-Present

Responding to a call by the RIAA -- in probably the only decent thing they've ever done for consumers -- for a new PCM-based (pulse code modulation, ie. digital) music disc format, Sony and Philips teamed up in 1979 to create a new format to meet the demand.  Knowing that other companies such as JVC were hard at work on a format as well, they proceeded quickly, using the Philips' VLP/DiscoVision system as a starting point. 

Since PCM digital audio was still such a new idea, they soon found that converting the digital audio to analog video tape was the easiest way to get to get digital audio data from the studio to the CD manufacturing plant.  Using this system, they found that they could get 14 or 16-bit digital audio at a 44.1 KHz sampling rate.  Going with 16-bit meant less room on the tape for error correction, but, Sony believed, would produce a better quality CDs in the long run.  By using binary PCM-audio data, it was possible to shrink the massive 12" video discs down to merely 5" for the audio discs, and still maintain 74 minutes of playing time.  It only took two years from conception to the time when the first CD player was released in Japan in late 1982.  The format became a rapid success, eventually pretty much ending the phonograph record and audio tape markets.

CD-ROM - 1985-Present

Building on the success of the audio CD standard, Sony and Philips released the Yellowbook standard for writing computer data onto CDs in 1985.  Designed in an era when PC hard drives only held a few hundred megabytes of data at most, the CD-ROM promised huge storage potential of 640 MB on a small (and cheap) 5" disc.  Although it took awhile to catch on, as computer applications grew in size, it became more and more common for them be available on CD-ROM, either instead of, or in addition to, versions released on many floppy disks.  In 1988, the expanded the usefulness even further, creating CD-R and CD-RW discs that could be written to in addition to read from.  Sony and Philips also created an interactive CD-ROM spec commonly referred to as CD-i (first released in 1991), which in many ways was a precursor to the interactive features of DVD discs.  Though Philips briefly tried to market CD-i applications to home users, the primary use was in commercial applications.

Due to the increased storage capacity provided by CD-ROM, a number of video game systems came out that utilized the format.  Among these were TubroGraffix 16/PC Engine CD (1988), FMTowns Marty (1991), Sega CD (1991), Amiga CDTV (1991), 3DO (1993), Amiga CD32 (1993), Atari Jaguar CD (1994), Sega Saturn (1994), Sony Playstation (1994), NEC PC-FX (1994), NeoGeo CD (1994), and the Apple/Bandai Pippin (1995).  The final system to be released with a CD-based drive was the Sega DreamCast (1998), which made use of special dual-layer discs they called GD-ROM.  Sony similarly tried to market a Double-density CD-ROM (DDCD) format for PCs in 2002, though only one burner was ever released.

LaserDisc (LD -- LaserVision Round 2) - 1985-2002

Given the huge success of the audio CD, and the still struggling status of the laser video players, a decision was made to try to use the "CD effect" to sell more video players.  The combo player was born.  First launched in 1985 by Pioneer, combo-players could play both LaserVision videodiscs and Compact Discs in the same player.  New video discs were created that added CD-like digital audio.  The format, using the new specifications, became known as LaserDisc, and went on to experience a lot of success in Japan, and achieve a long-term niche status in the U.S.  Despite the niche status of the format in the U.S., over 17,000 LaserDisc titles were released in the U.S. during the format's lifespan.

In 1994, the LaserDisc system was improved immensely in Japan with release of high definition MUSE LaserDisc players which played MPEG-2 encoded high definition video, and the release of the first Dolby Digital AC-3 players in America.  DTS discs were also released that included DTS soundtracks encoded in place of the standard PCM audio tracks.  Combined with widescreen movie releases and the higher vidoe resolution of LaserDisc compared to VHS tapes, these advancements helped keep LaserDisc the preferred format for videofiles, until DVD came along.

After the release of DVDs, sales of LaserDiscs plummeted, and the final LaserDisc movies were released in the U.S. in October, 2000.  Discs and players continued to be sold in Japan for awhile, with the final MUSE laserdisc player model going out of production in May, 2002.  Pioneer USA continued to offer its final DVD/Laserdisc combo player for some time after that, though officially support for laserdisc is dead.

As with the CD format, the LD-format also had a ROM variant used in PC applications, though the use of the format was much more limited.  Usually, the disc was only used for video, pictures, or audio, however Pioneer did release the LaserActive, a video game system, in 1993, that used LaserDiscs as the storage medium for games.

Magneto-Optical (MO) Drives -- 1990-Present

Although CD-ROM had brought optical media to the PC, the recordable variations had one major flaw: data had to be written a disc, track, or session at a time.  And deleting data was really only possible by rerecording the whole disc!  Canon, in around 1987, developed a drive that fixed that problem.  By using a special material that reacts to both laser light and electromagnetic currents, Magneto-optical drives can have specific information "erased" by a laser, and then rewritten by an electromagnet.  Though the format allowed for much more flexibility than CD recorders, the multiple passes required to erase and then "write" data made the drives very slow.  The drives were first used in the NeXT computer systems released in 1990 and continue to this day, though in more limited quantities than originally hoped.

MiniDisc (MD) -- 1992-Present

In 1992, Sony released the first MiniDisc player, a format that made use of Magneto-optical technology for audio recording and playback.  The format proved a very popular replacement for cassettes in Japan, but never caught on with anyone aside from musicians in the rest of the world.  Part of the problem was that the ATRAC compression system employed by minidisc changed frequently in the early days of the format, and recordings from one unit often sounded poor on a unit which was designed with different hardware.

Over the years, the minidisc format was updated for use as a data medium, and later as a type of storage for PC-based audio files.  Most recently, in 2004, Sony release Hi-MD players and recorders (in Asia) which could record and playback a variety of audio formats off of 1 GB discs.  The Hi-MD format was designed to be used with a PC as well, and could store photos and other data on the discs for transfer between PCs.

DVD -- (1996-Present)

What started in 1991 as an attempt by Pioneer to create a new generation of LaserDisc that could store more than 2 hours of video on one side, ended with with a format that would change home movie-watching forever.  By 1994, Pioneer had a fairly advanced prototype but was still a ways off from a final format, and Hollywood wanted a new format in place soon.  They teamed up with Toshiba (and eventually a number of other companies) to create the dual-layered SD format.  At the same time, Sony and Philips were marketing the MMCD, a new video disc system viewed as an extension of the CD format.  Fortunately, Lou Gerstner, then President of IBM, called the parties together and got them to agree on a standard spec, based largely on the SD format's structure.  In November, 1996, the DVD video format was officially launched, and the rest, as they say, is history.

DVD quickly replaced LaserDisc in the videophile market, and as player and movie prices dropped, eventually replaced the VHS tape as the de facto standard video format for home use.  Although various reports initially stated that DVD stood either for Digital Video Disc or Digital Versatile Disc, due perhaps to the confusion, the position of the DVD Forum is that DVD isn't an acronym for anything.  DVD-ROM drives for PCs were available at the very beginning of the format, with lower capacity DVD-R and DVD-RAM drives available in 1997.  In 2000, the DVD-R/RW/RAM specs were enhanced and full 4.7GB capacity discs were made available.  The following year, the DVD+RW alliance, led by Philips and Sony released the final spec for DVD+RW, and later DVD+R discs.  These competing and incompatible standards threatened to create a mini "format war," however drives that could read and write both types of media ended up becoming the standard.

Like CD-ROM before it, DVD-ROM became the defacto standard for new video game systems after it's release.  Systems that use DVD-ROM drives include the Sony Playstation 2 (2000), Microsoft XBox (2001), Microsoft XBox 360 (2005), and the Nintendo Wii (2006).  All those systems but the Wii also playback DVD video discs.  The Nintendo GameCube also used special mini-DVDs for its games, while the Sony PSP used cartridge-based optical discs similar in structure to DVD discs.

Super Audio CD (SA-CD) and DVD-Audio (DVD-A) -- (1999-Present)

With the DVD Forum's successful launch of DVD as a video and data medium, many within the organization turned their attention toward high-resolution digital audio.  The goal was to leverage the existing video capabilities of DVD, while adding very high-resolution PCM audio.  Sony and Philips, the creators of the audio CD, and working at the same time on their own extension of the CD.

SA-CD was released first, at the end of 1999, with the first player, Sony's SCD-1, cost $5,000!  Moreover, that first player, and many dedicated players since, have only played 2-channel SA-CD recordings.  SA-CD discs are actually DVD discs, though they are not designed to play in standard DVD players.  They contain no video information, but only extremely high resolution 1-bit 2.8224MHz audio in either a 2-channel or 5.1-channel configuration.  The system uses a DSD (Direct Stream Digital) format that differs substantially from the standard PCM audio found on computers and other optical media.  Early discs were largely SA-CD-only discs, though most recent discs are "hybrids" which contain both a stereo and/or multichannel SA-CD layer and a standard CD layer, to allow playback compatibility with standard CD players.

DVD-Audio was released shortly thereafter, with goal of expanding the DVD spec into high resolution audio.  The format differs from SA-CD in that the audio is recorded in PCM format (or compressed MLP PCM) at a wide variety of bitdepths and sampling rates.  To maintain compatibility with DVD video players, most DVD-Audio discs contain a Dolby Digital or DTS soundtrack and a video track or menu as well.  Like SA-CDs "hybrid" format, a format called "DualDisc" allows for a CD on one side of a disc, with a DVD-Video or DVD-Audio layer on the reverse side.

Although both formats use the same disc structure, they strive toward different goals.  That didn't stop people from declaring a "format war" between the formats, and sales for both have suffered perhaps due to that perception.  Despite lackluster sales, many titles have been released.  SA-CD, in particular, has had over 4,500 titles released.  As prices for D/A converters and other components have dropped, it has become very common for DVD players to feature support for one or both high resolution audio formats.  Though many people therefore have players capable of playing back the discs, disc sales have not increased as a result.

Ultra Density Optical (UDO) and Professional Disc for Data (PDD) -- (2003-present)

Starting in 2000, Sony announced their work on how to use blue-violet lasers in optical drives to greatly increase the amount of data the discs could hold.

The first of these products to reach the market was the UDO (Ultra Density Optical) format, in 2003, which stores up to 30GB on a special MO-like disc, designed to be read by a blue-laser.  Though the research and development of this format led to many of the technologies that would make their way into the Blu-ray format, Sony has largely given over the marketing and development of the format to other storage companies such as Plasmon.

Later the same year, Sony introduced the Professional Disc for Data (PDD), a cartridge-enclosed disc designed to be used in high-capacity/high-reliability data applications as well as video applications.  The original "Blu-ray" recorders sold in Japan in 2004-2005 were actually recording high-definition and standard-definition video onto these discs (though they were at that time referred to as BD-RE 1.0 discs).  Since then, the discs have been adopted as the recording format for Sony's professional XDCAM camcorders, and have been marketed into the PC market.

Blu-ray (BD) and HD DVD -- (2006-Present)

Welcome to the present!  It's been a long road to get here, and the story of just how the two most recent formats came to be, could fill a few books on its own.  That said, here's the highly compressed version.

Though commercial HD DVD discs and players launched first, Sony and Panasonic have had out "Blu-ray" recorders since 2003.  Initially, Blu-ray was to use a cartridge-based disc in order to prevent scratches.  Those original discs are what now are called PDD discs.  TDK developed a very hard coating that could protect the extremely high density Blu-ray optical media, and the BDA (Blu-ray Disc Association) companies voted quickly to adopt it, allowing non-cartridge based discs to become the standard. 

While the BDA companies were working on their blue laser format, Toshiba and a few allies (most notably Warner Brothers) were developing their own HD optical disc format based around the existing disc structure of DVDs.  The idea was to put 720p HD video on regular DVD discs using advanced video and audio codecs to achieve better compression.  This idea had a few strong selling points: for one, it would be very cheap to implement, as only new decoding hardware would be required for players, and all existing DVD production lines could produce the discs.  Using the existing DVD discs, Toshiba would also be able to easily extend the value of their existing patents for that disc structure.

Seeing Blu-ray companies coming closer and closer to an all-new format that they would have no part of the parent pool for, Toshiba and others started to rethink their position.  Fearing that their HD-lite format might be viewed as a stop-gap solution on the road to the higher-resolution Blu-ray format, Toshiba decided that they too needed a 1080p format if they were going to compete.  Trailing far behind Blu-ray in terms of development, Toshiba and NEC worked very quickly to put together a new disc format.  The final disc format, originally called AOD (Advanced Optical Disc) that increased the storage capacity of HD DVD discs to about 60% of that of the Blu-ray format.  In November, 2003, Toshiba managed to get the HD DVD format selected as the high definition successor to the DVD by the DVD Forum.  They did this by allowing in many new voting members to offset the BDA companies who certainly weren't voting for the proposal.  Toshiba still had a huge problem as it looked as though Blu-ray was much further along in development and would be able to launch first.  During negotiations between the two groups, however, Microsoft became disillusioned with a number of the BDA decisions, and decided to officially support HD DVD.  Very quickly, Microsoft was able to use their software and hardware knowledge to help Toshiba create a fully-formed playback system in very short order, using their HDi development language for the menus and special features, and often their VC-1 video codec for the video stream. 

By CES 2006, both formats had pretty much solidified their offerings and it was clear that a war was about to emerge.  Although HD DVD had lost the exclusive support of both Warner Brothers and Paramount, with Microsoft's help they were able to include advanced features such as PIP commentary that Blu-ray would not be able to roll out in its first players.

On April 18, 2006, Toshiba released the first two HD DVD players in America (the first player was released in Japan a few weeks earlier).  After several additional delays, the competing Blu-ray format was launched in the U.S. on June 20.  Initial reports had Blu-ray at a disadvantage, due to a combination of lackluster MPEG-2 transfers and a firmware issues with the first Samsung Blu-ray player.  For many months, HD DVD consistently led in player and disc sales.  Then, on November 17, 2006, Sony released the PS3 videogame system which featured Blu-ray movie playback.  The sales data changed overnight.  Almost immediately, Blu-ray sales overtook HD DVD sales.  Within the month following the release of the PS3, Sony, Pioneer, and Panasonic all released standalone Blu-ray players that featured much better picture quality than the Samsung player with it's original firmware.  So far, in 2007, Blu-ray has enjoyed a just over 2:1 sales advantage over HD DVD, a trend that seems likely to continue to grow throughout the rest of the year.

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Big Week For PS3 Releases!

 

splintercell5 This has been an awesome week for PS3 releases!  For those who were living in a cave, this week saw the releases of:

  • The Darkness (6/25)
  • Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (6/25)
  • The Bigs (6/25)
  • Rainbow 6: Vegas (6/26)
  • Transformers: The Game (6/26)

That makes this biggest PS3 game release week since the week the system launched last November (the week of March 20 would rank third).

Although Ninja Gaiden Sigma got pushed back to next week, the release list is still amazing.  Some other notes in short:

By my count, 83 more PS3 titles have been announced for release this year.  Also, this week saw the release of the second GTA IV trailer and the Playstation 3 System Update 1.82.  Hopefully, this is a sign of things to come for the system!

One other note, for those of you with Rainbow 6: Vegas, set your output to 720p if at all possible!  At 1080p/i, the game seems to be using some very poor scaling algorithm to get the video to that resolution, and it makes everything look bad, even simple text.  Hopefully, an update will address this, so we all won't have to switch the resolution back and forth every time we play the game.

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Happy 1st Birthday, Blu-ray!

 

bluray4 Well, it's now June 20th across all of America, so it's time to wish Blu-ray a happy first birthday!  It was one year ago, today, that Sony Pictures released the first seven Blu-ray movie titles.  Those historic first titles were:

  • 50 First Dates
  • The Fifth Element
  • Hitch
  • House of Flying Daggers
  • The Terminator
  • Underworld: Evolution
  • xXx

These titles, along with the original Samsung BD-P1000, took the video world by... well, truth be told, it was a BAD start.  All the titles were MPEG-2, with some pretty mediocre transfers (The Fifth Element is even being released already with a proper transfer), and the Samsung player had a firmware bug that softened the picture even more.  Given that start, it's amazing how far the format has come.

It took quite awhile for the media and the public to get the bad taste of that launch out of their mouths (many members of AVSForum still haven't done it yet), and far too long before new players were launched.  Toshiba, Universal, and Microsoft--the primary supporters of the rival HD DVD format, were declaring victory, and seemingly had the sales numbers to back that statement up.

Then, all of a sudden, on November 17, Sony dropped it's long-awaited PS3 gaming system into U.S. stores, pushing thousands of Blu-ray players into homes overnight.  Immediately, the sales numbers of Blu-ray movie discs took off.  Within weeks, stores were selling more Blu-ray discs in a week than HD DVD ones.  In early December, Blu-ray players from Sony, Pioneer, Panasonic, and Philips joined the Samsung player and the PS3 in retail stores... and the future for Blu-ray suddenly looked much brighter.

In just a couple of months after Blu-ray's "second" launch, Blu-ray overtook HD DVDs 9-month sales lead, and has been widening the gap ever since.  So far, in 2007, there have been over 2 times as many Blu-ray movies sold as HD DVD movies -- not a bad come-back!

------------------------------------------------------------------

Perhaps in celebration of the anniversary, a number of company's have made some big Blu-ray announcements this week.

First was Blockbuster's news that they would be rolling out 170 Blu-ray titles into over 1400 of their rental stores nationwide next month.  And, as for HD DVD... not expanding into any new stores.

Right on the heels of that announcement a pair of smaller studios who had previously been noncommital toward HD discs announced that they would be Blu-ray exclusive.  The two studios are Starz (formerly Anchor Bay) and Exoptron Limited (an HD documentary studio).  It had been widely advertised by the HD DVD group that while the big studios may favor Blu-ray the smaller studios could never afford to enter the market, and would instead support HD DVD.  Well, that doesn't appear to be the case.

And what may be the best news so far this week, BD+ (the enhanced Blu-ray movie copy protection that has delayed Fox titles for month's now) appears to be ready for wide release.  The specs appear to be finalized and control of the system has been transferred to the new BD+ Technologies, LLC.  Hopefully, Fox will release a statement announcing new titles to be released in the U.S. any time now.

Supposedly, a BIG announcement is due later today to mark the anniversary.  I won't bother speculating here what it might be, but it's shaping up to be an awesome week!

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Blockbuster Video Picks Blu-ray, and Sends a Potential Death Blow to HD DVD!

 

blockbuster2 In a huge blow to the HD DVD format, Blockbuster (America's largest video rental chain) today announced that it will be rolling Blu-ray movie titles into an additional 1450 stores nationwide next month.

Blockbuster had been testing both Blu-ray and HD DVD rentals in 250 stores for over half a year now, and found that 70% of the HD discs it rented were on the Blu-ray format.  Although HD DVD discs will still be rented in those test stores and through Blockbuster's "Total Access" online video rental program, no new stores will be receiving HD DVD discs.  It also remains unclear if those stores will be receiving new shipments of HD DVD discs, or will be left with only their existing stock.

"The consumers are sending us a message. I can't ignore what I'm seeing," Matthew Smith, senior vice president of merchandising at Blockbuster, told The Associated Press.  "When you walk into a store and see all this product available in Blu-ray and there is less available on HD DVD, I think the consumer gets that,"

Blockbuster is a huge player in the U.S. video market, both for rental and for sales, so it will be interesting to see just how much this will hurt HD DVD.  Despite what some people are suggesting, this is a major move.  For Universal, HD DVDs only major studio exclusive supporter, this effectively means that their titles will be in standard definition DVD only in Blockbuster stores.  It also means that customers who frequent Blockbuster stores will see Blu-ray titles available, but not those of the competing format, potentially influencing their purchasing decisions.  Lastly, smaller video rental chains and other stores that sell movies could soon follow in Blockbuster's lead if their rental and sales numbers are reflecting those of Blockbuster.

Source

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News: NPD Group Releases May, 2007 U.S. Console Sales Numbers

 

NPD this week released their console sales numbers for the U.S., for May, 2007.  The next-gen console sales for the month were:

XBOX 360: 155,000

PS3: 81,000

Wii: 338,000

Another phenomenal month for the Wii (coming in first place among all 6 available systems), and the PS3 continues its slide below the tracking of the XBox 360 (sales per month since inception).  Although it's important to note that these figures are just for the U.S. (Microsoft's home territory), the PS3 has had a terrible last two months, though Microsoft's XBox 360 still continued to sell less than Sony's other two systems (the PS2 and the PSP).

month 7

Obviously, the XBox 360 has been out considerably longer than the other consoles, so in the interests of fairness, here is a chart that shows the total sales of the consoles over their lifetimes.

console 5-07

As you can see, the numbers for the PS3 aren't looking very solid in the U.S. right now.  Whether that's due to the high price (and rumors of an upcoming price cut) or the (so far) lack of major game releases is up for debate, and likely both are partially to blame.  Whatever the case, something needs to be done soon.  There is some amazing content coming to the PS3 this fall, but that likely won't have much effect until October or November, by which time Sony may have a huge PR problem on their hands due to the lackluster sales numbers. 

Sony's noncommittal stance on a possible price cut certainly isn't helping either.  If you don't already own a PS3, there really isn't much reason to buy one right now given the rumors of a $100 price cut in the coming months.  Hopefully, Sony will either cut the price sooner rather than later or announce that they won't be cutting the price anytime soon.

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Blu-ray vs. HD DVD: Nielson VideoScan Comparison for Week Ending 6/10/07

 

Every week Home Media Magazine reports the latest Nielson VideoScan numbers for the Blu-ray vs. HD DVD battle.  They include three figures: Weekly, Year-to-date, and Since Inception.  Weekly numbers examine discs sold at retail over the course of just the current week, the YTD numbers look at sales from the first week ending in 2007 to the present, and the since inception numbers show the relative performance of Blu-ray and HD DVD discs since the formats' respective births.

 

Nielson VideoScan Data for Week Ending 6/10/2007

hd 6-10

Source: Nielson VideoScan via http://www.homemediamagazine.com/

Weekly sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 66% to 34%, 100:51.5, or 1.94:1

YTD sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 67% to 33%, 100:49.3, or 2.03:1

Since Inception sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 59% to 41%, 100:69.5, or 1.44:1

This was a very impressive week for Blu-ray.  Without any major new releases, and going up against the last week of Toshiba's $100 off HD DVD player promotion, Blu-ray discs still outsold HD DVD discs 2:1!

Nielson VideoScan Top 10 for Week Ending 6/10/07

top 10 6-10

Source: Nielson VideoScan via http://www.homemediamagazine.com/

This week marked the first time since Home Media Magazine has posted such a chart when Blu-ray managed to grab 9 of the top 10 selling titles for the week -- a HUGE accomplishment!  Also, note that only a couple of weeks after the release of the Matrix box sets on HD DVD, they've both completely fallen off of the Top 10 chart, while both Pirates of the Caribbean movies and Letters From Iwo Jima on Blu-ray, which were released the same day as the Matrix still make the chart.  Casino Royale has even been there since March.  It really doesn't look like Toshiba's rebate on players did anything to push disc sales.  It will be interesting to see what they try to do next.

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News: Sony BDP-S300 Available and Sale on Sony Pictures Blu-ray Discs

 

BDPS300 The new $499 Sony BDP-S300 is starting to show up in-stock or for preorder online at the following stores:

Also, OneCall is taking preorders for the revised Panasonic DMP-BD10A player for $599.95.  They are also offering free shipping and a $25 off coupon.  No ship date is listed.

In other Blu-ray sale news, Sony Pictures has announced a major Buy 2 Get 1 Free sale through leading online retailers.  Under the terms of the sale, consumers who purchase three eligible Sony Pictures titles (for a selection of over 30 titles), will receive an instant credit at checkout for the cost of one of the titles.  Head over to Amazon's sale page to take advantage of the deal!

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Blu-ray vs. HD DVD: Nielson VideoScan Comparison for Week Ending 6/3/07

 

Every week Home Media Magazine reports the latest Nielson VideoScan numbers for the Blu-ray vs. HD DVD battle.  They include three figures: Weekly, Year-to-date, and Since Inception.  Weekly numbers examine discs sold at retail over the course of just the current week, the YTD numbers look at sales from the first week ending in 2007 to the present, and the since inception numbers show the relative performance of Blu-ray and HD DVD discs since the formats' respective births.

 

Nielson VideoScan Data for Week Ending 6/3/07

hd 6-03

Source: Nielson VideoScan via http://www.homemediamagazine.com/

Weekly sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 61% to 39%, 100:63.9, or 1.56:1

YTD sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 67% to 33%, 100:49.3, or 2.03:1

Since Inception sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 59% to 41%, 100:69.5, or 1.44:1

Not a huge week for new Blu-ray releases, yet Blu-ray still outsells HD DVD despite Toshiba's ongoing $100 off any HD DVD player sale.  Although that may be pushing some players off store shelves, it doesn't look to be doing the same for discs.

Nielson VideoScan Top 10 for Week Ending 6/3/07

top 10 6-3

Source: Nielson VideoScan via http://www.homemediamagazine.com/

With no new major titles for the week, the chart pretty much mirrors last week's chart.  Again we see 6 of out the Top 10 titles were Blu-ray, with 4 being HD DVD.  Also, the Top 3 titles were all Blu-ray! 

Next weeks data should be more interesting, with the online Buy 2 Get 1 Free Sony Pictures sale going head to head with Toshiba's $100 off any player sale... and heading into Father's Day.

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New Blu-ray Player News

 

bluray4 Well, it's been an interesting couple of months for news of new and upcoming Blu-ray A/V players. 

First, Samsung released their second-gen player, the BD-P1200, adding Reon DVD upscaling and 1080p24 output, all for $799.

Japanese OEM manufacturer Funai (the largest maker of DVD players in the world, and one of Walmart's largest suppliers) announced that they will be making a presumably lower-cost Blu-ray player to be released later this year.  No word on where this player will be sold, or for what cost.

Then, Panasonic announced a refresh of their current model, the DMP-BD10A, adding TrueHD and DTS-HD decoding, and lowering the price to $699.

Pioneer quickly responded with their own announcement of a new Pioneer Elite Blu-ray player, the BDP-94HD, which adds CD playback and Dolby TrueHD decoding to the specs of their existing BDP-HD1 player, while lowering the price to $999.

Sony then made a couple of shocking moves.  The first was the firmware 1.8 update to the PS3, which added DVD and PS1/PS2 game upscaling, 1080p24 output, and RGB expanded range output to the PS3's already excellent capabilities.   The second major announcement, which has not been officially confirmed yet by Sony, is that their upcoming BDP-S300, due this summer, will be released at $499 MSRP instead of the previously reported $599.  Definitely excellent news if true!

And perhaps the most odd 'announcement' came this past week, when a little known Hong-Kong based manufacturer Gowell, announced their G875 Blu-ray player, complete with hard disk and media card capability, and both wired and wireless networking.  Also interesting is that the specs include the ability to playback Divx and WMV9 files.  No word on pricing or release region.

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Blu-ray vs. HD DVD: Nielson VideoScan Comparison for Week Ending 5/27/07

 

Every week Home Media Magazine reports the latest Nielson VideoScan numbers for the Blu-ray vs. HD DVD battle.  They include three figures: Weekly, Year-to-date, and Since Inception.  Weekly numbers examine discs sold at retail over the course of just the current week, the YTD numbers look at sales from the first week ending in 2007 to the present, and the since inception numbers show the relative performance of Blu-ray and HD DVD discs since the formats' respective births.

 

Nielson VideoScan Data for Week Ending 5/27/07

hd 5-27

Source: Nielson VideoScan via http://www.homemediamagazine.com/

Weekly sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 69% to 31%, 100:44.9, or 2.23:1

YTD sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 67% to 33%, 100:49.3, or 2.03:1

Since Inception sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 58% to 42%, 100:72.4, or 1.38:1

This was a big week for releases, with both 'Pirates of the Caribbean' movies being released on Blu-ray and two different 'Matrix' box-sets being released on HD DVD.  Given that many were billing the Matrix release as HD DVD's savior, the above chart must come as some sobering news, with Blu-ray discs continuing to outsell HD DVD discs by over 2:1.  This was also the week Toshiba launched their $100 rebate on new players, that was supposed to push HD DVD discs as well. It doesn't look like either plan worked out too well for HD DVD.

 

Nielson VideoScan Top 10 for Week Ending 5/27/07

top 10 5-27

Source: Nielson VideoScan via http://www.homemediamagazine.com/

So, for this week, 6 of out the Top 10 titles were Blu-ray, with 4 being HD DVD.  Also, the Top 3 titles were all Blu-ray!  Comparing the HD DVD Matrix releases to the first Pirates film release, we see that for every 100 copies of 'Pirates' sold, 59.16 copies of 'The Matrix' (either set) sold.  The other big releases, 'Letters From Iwo Jima' and 'Flags of our Fathers' were released on both formats this week, and the Blu-ray versions, as usual, are outselling their HD DVD counterparts.

 

Well, since it appears I missed posting last weeks info, here it is:

 

Nielson VideoScan Data for Week Ending 5/20/07

hd 5-20

Source: Nielson VideoScan via http://www.homemediamagazine.com/

Weekly sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 58% to 42%, 100:72.4, or 1.35:1

YTD sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 67% to 33%, 100:49.3, or 2.03:1

Since Inception sales: Blu-ray leads HD DVD 57% to 43%, 100:75.4, or 1.33:1

 

Nielson VideoScan Top 10 for Week Ending 5/20/07

top 10 5-20

Not a terrific release week overall, but Blu-ray keeps 6 of the Top 10 selling titles.  Also, unlike the odd 'Planet Earth' box-set, the new release of 'The Fountain' shows the Blu-ray version outselling the HD DVD version by a sizeable margin.

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The Digital Bits' Editor Bill Hunt Puts HD DVD in its Place

 

digitalbits4 Although most people have known where Bill Hunt's heart has lied in the HD optical disc market for some time now, he made it official today in an excellent post explaining why HD DVD cannot possibly overcome the various obstacles posed by the dominating Blu-ray format.

News of this rant, entitled "If you're ready to get into high-def discs..." is all over the net, and it appears that the The Digital Bits site is actually down at the moment, so I've taken the liberty of copying Bill Hunt's text verbatim.  When their site goes back up, please go there as I don't want to take traffic from their excellent site.  In the meantime, though, read on!

So, without any further ado, here's what Bill wrote:

So here's the thing. We've gotten a few e-mails over the last couple days - okay, a lot more than a few - about Harry Knowles over at Ain't it Cool News going on the record saying that he's chosen HD-DVD and why, and how all his director friends tell him HD-DVD is the way to go, and how he "might be wrong" but has a knack for picking winning formats so there you go. Yeah. Well... look, we love Harry and the guys over at AICN. We love 'em a bunch. But flat out, we think Harry is wrong on this one. And since somebody needs to say it, we may as well step up to the plate.

It's funny, Doogan e-mailed yesterday about this: "I love the statement that his deciding factor was the reverse compatibility of HD-DVD. This is why people are afraid. Because people in power, who don't know s--t and shouldn't be talking s--t ARE talking. Harry should remove this post because it's flat out wrong." Todd... God bless him. All things considered, passion may have gotten the best of him there for a moment. But I understand his point. Like I said, Headgeek knows his movies and he is big-time plugged into the theatrical side of the business. He's entitled to his opinion, and I respect him for speaking his mind. But when it comes to the home video side, Harry's maybe a little out of his element. He seems to be rather new to the whole high-def disc thing. And unfortunately, he's got many of his facts wrong.

For the record, Harry says: "The kicker is... that it can play the 9000 or so DVDs I already have, as well as the HD DVDs. That Backwards compatibility feels right."
Well... a LOT of things feel right, and we agree, backwards compatibility is one of them. But Blu-ray is backwards compatible too. It is fully 100% capable of playing all your DVDs. Worth noting.

Later in the discussion thread, Harry claims: "Porn is HD DVD - it will win. I have faith in Porn."

Not to sully the good reputation of the porn biz, but this argument is so six months ago. As we've said before, porn will not decide this format war. Yes, porn decided the VHS/Betamax format war... because at the time, the only way to watch adult films was to visit a seedy movie theater on the wrong side of town or to spool up a Super-8 or 16mm film. So when porn on videotape became available (largely on VHS) that you could watch in the privacy of your own home, people went nuts for it. Unfortunately for Harry's argument, not only are there literally hundreds of thousands of $10 adult DVDs available, free porn is EVERYWHERE on the Net. And that's what companies like Vivid see as the future - downloading high-def porn to your PC. Read my lips: Skin flicks WILL NOT decide this format war.

Later, Harry adds more: "and right now... there's something along the lines of 545 titles on HD DVD and only 62 for Blue Ray. That's nearly getting close to 10 to 1 in terms of selection."

Here's a MAJOR fact check: According to Ralph Tribbey's excellent and highly accurate DVD Release Report, here's the official U.S. title tally as of 5/23 for each format: HD-DVD - 201 titles released, plus 57 more announced. Blu-ray - 237 titles released with 40 more announced.

Maybe Harry meant adult titles? Yeah, not so much. Adult DVD Empire shows all of 9 actual HD-DVD adult titles available at the moment.

How are all those high-def titles selling? Let's see what Nielsen VideoScan says (click here and look at page one of this digital edition of Home Media): As of 5/20, Blu-ray leads HD-DVD in overall software sales, 57% to 43% since both formats launched. The more recent trends are more lopsided: Blu-ray is outselling HD-DVD 67% to 33% year-to-date for 2007. That's a 2 to 1 margin, DESPITE the fact that HD-DVD claims to have sold many more actual stand-alone players than Blu-ray Disc.

How about the most recent sales numbers? Okay... let's consider 5/22, when Disney debuted both Pirates of the Caribbean films on Blu-ray against Warner's dual Matrix box sets on HD-DVD. According to Home Media: "The two “Pirates” films sold a combined total of nearly 47,000 units, while the higher-priced “Matrix” sets sold about 13,900 units." So more people purchased BOTH Pirates BDs than purchased any Matrix box set - even the cheaper one. Warner's recent The Departed provides another case in point. By their own admission, the studio sold 58,300 copies on Blu-ray and just 35,300 on HD-DVD.
As for Harry's later comment in the Talk Back about "a lot of Reg DVDs are beginning to master in higher resolutions..."

Here's the thing... the Hollywood studios have been mastering their films in high-def for DVD release for YEARS now. Plus, lots of cheap standard DVD players already upconvert 480p DVDs to 1080 resolution via HDMI. Not just HD-DVD players. And yes, Blu-ray players do this too. It's pretty a common feature these days.

Look... like I said, we love Harry. But we think he's wrong on this one. It seems his DVD player broke, and when he saw that Toshiba had slashed their HD-DVD player prices to $299, he couldn't resist. For that, we can't blame him. But we CANNOT join him in recommending the HD-DVD format to ANYONE, no matter how cheap.

We've been involved with the home video industry for ten years now. Way back in 1997, when most people didn't even know what DVD was, we were telling people it was going to be the biggest thing since the CD. We were having conversations with the Hollywood studios that first year, where even the most senior studio executives were telling us we were crazy to think DVD was ever going to be anything more than a niche format. But we were right then. We gave the world it's first look at Circuit City's Divx format, and then said it was going to fail. We were right about that too. We were right about the need for the studios to support DVD's anamorphic widescreen capability, to ensure the highest video quality possible at the time, and we lobbied them hard to do so. Here at The Bits, we interact on a daily basis with studio personnel at all levels, with authoring/technical staffers, with DVD producers, with filmmakers and with hardware manufacturers. So we're pretty good at having our finger on the pulse of the home video industry, and knowing what the trends are. And anyone who has read The Bits since we started will know that, over the years, we've been right about a LOT more things than we've been wrong.

And all of that experience tells us this: HD-DVD is not going to win this format war. In fact, one of two things is possible right now: Either Blu-ray will win, or neither format will win. But the best HD-DVD can hope for is to just keep hanging in the game as long as possible.

Our readers trust us to give it to them straight, and to help guide them through the confusing home video landscape in such a way that they don't end up wasting their money. HD-DVD is a great format technically, but its business model is an utter and complete disaster from which it will not recover.

Meanwhile, Blu-ray is just as good technically and quality-wise, it has the support of EVERY HOLLYWOOD STUDIO BUT UNIVERSAL, it has the support of the MAJORITY OF HARDWARE MANUFACTURERS, and nearly the ENTIRE computer industry. There are lots of great titles coming out, many more titles are on the way, there are more models of stand-alone players available and they're getting cheaper all the time. Blu-ray Disc is by FAR the smarter choice. If you want spend the safe money, there's your best bet.
We've been following this stupid, cursed high-def format war since the beginning, and it's driving us crazy. But we'll admit that maybe one good thing HAS come of it: HD-DVD cutting their prices so quickly has forced Blu-ray to do the same. But that's a double-edged sword.

Let's get back to that business model problem I mentioned a moment ago. It should come as a surprise to no one that Toshiba has been losing money on their HD-DVD players (as is typical for hardware of any new format in the first few years - BD manufacturers deal with this as well). But in the last couple of weeks, the company has been slashing prices dramatically and offering $100 rebates, effectively bringing the cost of the HD-A2 to $299. That seems like a great deal, and Harry certainly jumped on it. Hell, we wouldn't be surprised to see Toshiba slash down to $199 or even less by the holidays at this rate. But it means that Toshiba is losing even MORE money on HD-DVD hardware than they were before, which can't have a positive impact on their overall business. I don't know if I'd go so far as to call this a fire sale, but it sure smacks of desperation on Toshiba's part. But there's another, bigger problem with this as well. What other major HD-DVD manufacturer wants to compete with that?

The HD-DVD camp has long touted cheaper players as its big trump card, even going so far as to promote future super-cheap, off-brand models at CES this past January. But all this does is basically ensure that FEW OTHER MAJOR MANUFACTURERS WILL JOIN THE HD-DVD CAMP. Where's the business incentive to do so? If you can't make a profit, there's no point. Sure, LG and Samsung are making pricey combo players available that will play both HD-DVD and Blu-ray, but that's only because they know that a small enthusiast market will be willing to pay $1200+ for one. Neither has announced cheaper HD-DVD-only players to compete with Toshiba's and we think they're unlikely to do so. RCA has dabbled in the format with one model, the price of which has been slashed to move at $299 (down from around $500). Meridian revealed at CES that they may release one in the fall (likely be a pricier high-end model, targeted towards audio/video enthusiasts). But that's hardly a landslide of hardware support.

When you look at the facts and trends, it seem to us here at The Bits that the ONLY thing the HD-DVD camp has to crow about right now is that they're the cheaper option. If that's all you have going for you, cheaper might win you a battle or two, but without more studio and industry support, it's never going to win you the war.

Meanwhile, on the Blu-ray side, Stan Glasgow (the president of Sony Electronics) has made recent press statements to the effect that the company's Blu-ray players could drop to as low as $299 by the holidays this year (click here). Other BD manufacturers (including Pioneer, Panasonic, Philips and Samsung) will have cheaper players available by the end of the year as well, some of them in the $399 price range. But again, here's the difference: They'll play Blu-ray movies from EVERY HOLLYWOOD STUDIO BUT UNIVERSAL and yes... all your standard DVDs too.

Let's look at the studio support side. HD-DVD has just one major exclusive studio supporter: Universal. Blu-ray has FIVE: Disney, Fox, MGM, Lionsgate and Sony. Which group do you think is more likely to go format neutral first? For better or worse, one of the reasons some of these studios sided with Blu-ray exclusively is because that format offers them an additional layer of content protection: BD+ (the details of which Sony is soon to finalize according to this story at Audioholics). By the way, that Audioholics story hints that Fox has a particular interest in BD+ protection for its high-def titles, which could be why they've delayed all those Fox and MGM catalog Blu-ray titles they talked about at CES. With AACS already smarting from a series of cracks, hacks and work-arounds that have exposed existing high-def titles (including The Matrix) to copying, does anyone really think those studios are going to start releasing their titles on HD-DVD format, especially when Blu-ray is already dominating software sales? Again, there's no incentive whatsoever.

Speaking of Sony... you know it's funny. Based on the e-mails we get here at The Bits, it seems like hatred of Sony is one of the biggest reasons those who side with HD-DVD give for doing so. "What about that whole root kit fiasco? Sony sucks! They're all about greed! F--- Sony!!"

Well... this might surprise some people, but this format war is about NOTHING but greed, as we've been saying for years now. But there's plenty of greed to go around, believe me. So what about the CD root kit thing? Yeah, that was stupid. Sony should have gotten spanked for that, and it seems to us that did. But people tend to forget one thing about Sony. Back when it was time to negotiate the details of the DVD format between all the industry players, there were also two competing candidate formats. But Philips and Sony caved and abandoned their MultiMedia Compact Disc, and agreed to go along with Toshiba's SuperDensity Disc. The result was DVD - a single unified format from which we've all benefitted. What was the result of that? Toshiba made millions off the patients for the DVD disc structure, which Sony lost out on. At an industry conference last year, Warren Lieberfarb revealed during a panel that, right after standard DVD launched, Sony approached him about the need to start working on the high-def version, but the HD-DVD Group felt it was too early and wasn't interested. So Sony started working on their own high-def format. It's hard for us to fault Sony for not wanting to lose out on such massive royalty profits a second time. Certainly, Toshiba had no interest in sharing some of those royalty fees during the attempts to negotiate a single high-def standard. In any case, as a longtime manufacturer of video equipment, at least Sony has a legitimate reason to be in the game.

What we've found most puzzling about this format war, is why Microsoft - a company that makes neither movies and TV shows or home theater hardware, is arguably the single biggest corporate supporter of the HD-DVD format outside of Toshiba and Universal. And though no one will say it on the record (though many industry insiders admit, off the record, that they believe it), we'd be surprised if Microsoft wasn't subsidizing both Toshiba's hardware losses and Universal's exclusive commitment to HD-DVD in some way. That's just our gut feeling. We can't prove it. But even Warner, which has a significant financial stake in the disc structure patients for DVD (and thus HD-DVD) has opted to support both high-def formats. Meanwhile, Microsoft has an office of "HD-DVD Evangelism" in house.

So why would Microsoft do this? The are three reasons why it makes good business sense for the company. First, having HD-DVD playback capability on their Xbox 360 (via the add-on drive) is a smart strategic move to counter-balance Sony's having Blu-ray playback capability built into their PS3 system. Second, HD-DVD uses Microsoft's VC-1 video compression codec almost exclusively. For a variety of reasons - not the least of which is that it's a great codec - this has encouraged a number of Blu-ray Disc studios to adopt VC-1 as well, so more and more Blu-ray releases utilize it too. This again benefits Microsoft. But more importantly, Microsoft's real long-term goal is to dominate the content downloading arena - particularly the downloading of entertainment content to devices in living rooms. That's what many industry observers, including many in Hollywood, see as the ultimate future of the home video industry. Selling lots of Xbox 360s and having everyone adopt the VC-1 codec (not to mention their iHD interactivity spec) both work to further Microsoft's goals in this area by helping to drive the growth of Xbox Live. According to the company's own recent press releases, Xbox Live is already "the number one online distributor of television and feature film content in the living room where it's most easy for consumers to access." In addition, "the service has quickly become the number two online distributor of television and feature film content, second to iTunes." Finally, Xbox Live is currently "the ONLY online distributor of major feature films and television programming in high definition (HD) resolution."

Microsoft doesn't give a rip about HD-DVD, or movies on disc at all for that matter, except to the extent that backing HD-DVD for a while now both undermines Sony's efforts and leverages Microsoft's success in achieving their ultimate goal of dominating the future of online distribution of digital entertainment. That's how we see it.
So how do we foresee this format war playing out? Our prediction is that by this time next year, Universal will have gone format neutral, agreeing to support Blu-ray Disc in addition to HD-DVD. It could happen at CES in January 2008, it could even happen sooner. When that happens, and we do believe it's a matter of when and not if, this format war will effectively be over. Which matters not to Microsoft, because VC-1, the 360 and Xbox Live will do just fine either way. If Blu-ray begins to dominate this thing, Microsoft will simply announce a Blu-ray add-on drive for the 360 and continue on their merry way.

That doesn't mean that HD-DVD is going to die or disappear. We'd bet that most, if not all, of the studios that currently support HD-DVD will continue to do so, at least for a while. And I'll remind you (though I know many HD-DVD fans will continue to claim otherwise) that none of what we've said is intended to disparage the HD-DVD format itself. It's a great high-def format, capable of excellent video and sound quality and extras. We enjoy HD-DVD ourselves, and we'll continue to do so. But HD-DVD is just not going to win this format war. We just don't see any circumstance in which HD-DVD can best Blu-ray and dominate the HD disc market and, believe me, we agonize over this stuff every day.

The bottom line remains the same: Any way we slice it, when we look at ALL the facts, we think Blu-ray Disc remains the best bet in this format war, and the safer bet for consumers. That's just the way we see it.

We simply CANNOT and WILL NOT recommend to our readers that they adopt a format that only has the full support of just a HANDFUL of major hardware manufacturers and ONLY A HANDFUL of the Hollywood studios - no matter how cheap the price - when a format of EQUAL quality and FAR GREATER studio and manufacturer support exists.
Unlike those who hate Microsoft or hate Sony, our position isn't personal or emotional. Unlike those who work for HD-DVD and Blu-ray connected companies, we are not getting paid for our opinions or to generate media spin. Our opinions as expressed here are simply our own logical, common sense conclusions, based on our own research and experience. (For the record, regarding our advertising: We generally accept advertising from all interested parties within certain guidelines of good taste, and our advertising arrangements have NEVER and WILL NEVER influence our editorial opinions.)
We'll continue to enjoy HD-DVD discs and review them too, for those who may be interested. But if you want our opinion as to which HD format you should buy, unless circumstances change DRAMATICALLY, in all good conscience we simply can't recommend HD-DVD.

Simply put: If you're ready to get into high-def discs... we say Go Blu.
So yes... Blu-ray Disc is now officially the high-def format of choice for The Digital Bits. In the same way that we recommended everyone chose anamorphic widescreen DVDs over the alternative, we think you'll come to appreciate this advice in the months and years ahead as well.

To those of you who happen to disagree with us, favoring HD-DVD instead, more power to you and we respect your decision. We raise our glasses to you. (Skol, friends!)
It would be nice to think that we could just stay neutral in this thing, as some would rather we do indefinitely, but we just care too much about our readers, and about all the great things that have come about as a result of having a single, unified video disc standard for the last decade: DVD. But when the industry decided to spit in the face of that success, stubbornly taking opposing sides when it came time to launch high-def movies on disc (and to both HD camps, shame on all of you for it), they basically forced everyone else who really cares about this stuff to choose sides as well. We've tried to sit on the sidelines as long as we could, offering our carefully and logically reasoned opinions and advice whenever we felt it necessary or appropriate. But this stupid war has just dragged on too damn long. We're getting way too many frustrated e-mails from confused readers, who want to make the upgrade to high-def but are afraid to spend their hard-earned money on the wrong format. So it's time we made our choice, and we've decided to line-up with the overwhelming majority of studios and manufacturers behind Blu-ray.

It's a tough call for us, having to take sides. But it's time. Sometimes you just have to have the strength of your convictions and the balls to stand by them... and so we do and have.

Bill Hunt, Editor
(along with Todd and Adam and all the rest)
The Digital Bits

As I said, an excellent summary of the high-def disc situation as it exists today.  Again, I ask that you check out The Digital Bits website once they're back online.  It's an excellent site for getting release information on Blu-ray and DVD titles, often well before official studio announcements.

Source

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